TREATABLE EVENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON
The models overnight are having the storm Saturday not getting it's act together until reaching south central Missouri leaving us on the back edge with the best chances for inches of snow being in Central Missouri.
Even though most of the media this morning has backed off on this storm as far as frozen precip in our area, I believe there is still a very good chance for a treatable event mostly because this far out the models are usually never right and the fact temps on Saturday will fall from about 40 degrees to the upper teens and low 20's in a matter of minutes and there won't have to be much precip to have conditions rapidly deteriorate.
Even though most of the media this morning has backed off on this storm as far as frozen precip in our area, I believe there is still a very good chance for a treatable event mostly because this far out the models are usually never right and the fact temps on Saturday will fall from about 40 degrees to the upper teens and low 20's in a matter of minutes and there won't have to be much precip to have conditions rapidly deteriorate.
The timing is still uncertain, but it appears the freezing change would occur about noon Saturday lasting to about 4-5 PM before changing to just flurries. In the KC area the heaviest amounts according to the latest GFS would be east of the state line and areas further east with Clay county getting the brunt of frozen precip in our immediate area where some areas may get up to a quick 3/4" of frozen precip.
Most of the automated graphic from the NWS that predict frozen precip chances that far out, won't be out until this afternoon and we'll take a closer look then.