New Years Eve

There was a band of rain that entered the KC area this morning around 4:30 and 5:00 AM depending on the location.  The mix stayed well North of the River but all properties west of I-35 and N were checked.  While Properties N. of I -70 ( Tiffany Springs ) were serviced for light mix accumulation.

There are wet roads and parking lots so if the wind does not dry the pavement, we may have to treat properties as the front enters the areas if the rising temps don't correct the problem.

We will be in touch or if  you would like to decline any service please reply but if it is questionable, we will call you at that point.

Thank you and Have a Happy New Years Eve and SAFE!

Christmas Eve Update!

More to come on this update in the morning!

The biggest change in the recent forecast is the elimination of any freezing rain and sleet in the KC Metro area.  We should get all snow starting about midnight Thursday night and lasting at least the first half of Christmas Eve.  I've also introduced a good chance for lingering flurries through Christmas Day.

 

This storm has slowed down and appears to be on a southerly track towards southern Missouri and is still 36 hours away and I wouldn't rule out track changes

 

Snowfall amounts.  Generally anywhere from a dusting to 3" with higher amounts to our south.

 

Paola through Harrisionville: 3"

Olathe through Lee's Summit:  2-3"

Lawrence through Downtown KC: 1-2"

Atcheson, KCI, Liberty.  1-2"  {with Liberty being on the 2" side)

 

Areas east of the Kansas mentioned cities---dusting.

Areas west of the Missouri listed cities--- higher amounts.

 

The average expected snow within the I-435 loop is 1.5"

 

 

Sleet, sled's and Santa Clause...Here we go....

With sleet and Ice it is impossible to wait on servicing locations.  We will be servicing all locations the same and at the same time.  What is most important is that it won't build up causing problems and creating a more difficult situation to remove and allowing us the ability to keep your properties in the safest condition mother nature will allow.

    Although this storm is still off the coast, we have a little better idea what to expect. 

    There is a slight chance for early sleet or freezing drizzle Thursday morning and then quiet the rest of the day until after dark when a better chance for sleet forms-- with the bulk of the show happening around midnight, changing to all snow and lasting through Friday morning.

    The precipitation Thursday evening could vary all ranges of precip from thunder south to all snow near St. Joe and sleet/mix in between before everyone changes to all snow at midnight.

    Some areas, mostly south may see a more sleet than snow event.  In all cases, driving conditions will be a nightmare by Friday morning.

    Current thinking on snowfall totals by Friday morning.

    4-5"    From KCI north.

    3-4"    Downtown to KCI.

    1-3     470 to Downtown

    0-1     Harrisonville to 470.

    

    These examples will likely be updated every 12 hours until the event.

 

 

KC Long Range Weather, www.kclongrangeweather.com

Will we get a White Christmas??

Happy Holiday's and Possibly every ones wish a WHITE CHRISTMAS...now lets not hope for a blizzard so that we all make it to our family's safe and no one works on Christmas!  We will be keeping you current on this situation as it gets closer.

TREATABLE EVENT - COMING.

This storm is still off the Pacific coast, but the latest models show this to be a significant storm for our area.  Rain or freezing rain in some areas may begin early Thursday and mix through the evening hours changing to all snow by the midnight hour.  Snowfall around that time will be on top of any freezing precip.  NWS is projecting up to 5" by early Friday morning, but I believe 3" will be the average in the area more or less.  Either way, the current forecast calls for horrible driving conditions from afternoon Thursday through early Friday.

 

It's still early, but I expect the NWS will have us in a Winter Weather Advisory by early Thursday. 

 

Christmas and after, we fall into a deep freeze for a while with a similar event just before New Year's.

 

 

KC Long Range Weather, www.kclongrangeweather.com

Saturday Dec. 18th, latest update

In short there is a chance for snow mainly north of I-70 but we need 

to keep a close watch on this event. 
Temperatures are in the low 40's tomorrow.   

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

TWO ROUNDS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE OUTLOOK AREA TONIGHT.
THE FIRST ROUND OCCURRING THIS EVENING WILL BE AFFECTING NORTHEAST
KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI...MAINLY FROM HIGHWAY 50...NORTHWARD.
POCKETS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI TO THE NORTH OF
KANSAS CITY AND AS FAR EAST AS THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR...MAY PRODUCE
UP TO AN INCH OF SNOWFALL AND CREATE SLICK ROADWAYS. THIS SNOW WILL
TRY TO PUSH EASTWARD INTO NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES...BUT AS IT ENCOUNTERS SOME DRIER AIR...SHOULD UNDERGO A
WEAKENING TREND.

THE SECOND ROUND OF SNOW WILL BE SETTING UP OVERNIGHT FOR NORTHEAST
KANSAS AND NORTHWEST AND INTO NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS A WEAK
WEATHER DISTURBANCE HEADS TOWARD THE REGION. ALTHOUGH THERE IS
UNCERTAINTY ON HOW FAR SOUTH THIS SNOW MAY DEVELOP...AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS AREAS FROM KANSAS CITY NORTHWARD WOULD SEE THIS SNOW
DEVELOPING FIRST...WITH IT SPREADING INTO NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE
IN THE NIGHT. THE CHANCE OF AN INCH OR MORE OF SNOW SHOULD STAY ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR.

BETWEEN THE SNOW THIS EVENING AND SNOW OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING...NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND EXTREME NORTHEAST KANSAS MAY PICK
UP 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL WITH AN INCH OR TWO POSSIBLE FURTHER EAST.
AMOUNTS SHOULD TAPER OFF AS YOU GO FURTHER SOUTH...WITH LESS THAN AN
INCH SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE SNOW SHOULD GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST OUT OF NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI BY
THE FIRST HALF OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON SUNDAY. THEN FOR MONDAY
NIGHT...PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI...MAINLY EAST AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM GRANT CITY TO
CHILLICOTHE TO MOBERLY.

Current Radar - We are monitoring this situation

It is mainly in the atmosphere but we could get a dusting to up to 1", all spotters and all crews on call till 12:00 PM Sunday.

Current Radar - Wednesday Event

We have activated service on retail, 24 hour, medical, shipping and like facilities

Wednesday Outlook

Wednesday Possible treatable event - 

We will be monitoring the situation closely and even though it is thought to only freeze on Vegetation in the am, it is very possible for each property to have a different moisture level creating hazardous conditions, if you notice something in your area, we urge you to contact us immediately.  All spotters and salting crews are on call at this point till 10:00 PM Wednesday.  We will again update you in the AM or if we see a sudden change.

Light drizzle expected to develop  in our area from the south reaching the metro area around noon.  The surface temps will be below freezing so any precipitation will likely freeze mostly on bridges, trees, etc., and will otherwise have little impact until late evening.

 

After dark, the drizzle may have accumulated in enough areas to create driving problems and at the same time, may change to snow flurries north of the river.

 

Conditions appear minimal for a major event at this time.  It looks to be mostly slippery sidewalks and icy vegetation.

7-Day Forecast for Latitude 38.93°N and Longitude 94.66°W (Elev. 935 ft)

7-Day Forecast for Latitude 38.93°N and Longitude 94.66°W (Elev. 935 ft)

Exciting weekend

Well we went from a closer monitoring to cleaning up every location we service.  Despite the lack of snow, the drifts were still significant in locations.  More on this weeks two potentials tomorrow.

Thanks and please understand it is weather and very difficult to monitor especially the "back building" on this one!

What a cold and exciting day!

Below is the latest report we have received from our weather provider.  It appears we are needing to monitor the situation as they never really know but for the most part they should have stuck with there earlier models and called it a non-event.  They get nervous, and we have learned that Mother nature always surprises us.

We will let you know but between now and 8:00 am we will monitor 24 hour facilities, retail and be ready for Religious services in the am should any treatment be necessary.

Non treatable event... A WIND ADVISORY AND WINTER WEATHER WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT.

Although scattered and isolated flurries may persist through the night, the storm has found "high gear" and is quickly moving away, leaving us with cold and blustery temperatures.  The storm's "high gear" wasn't anticipated as previous models showed it to slow down and hang around over night.  The "Omega" block has moved east [which has been our dry slot for the last 20 days or so].

Except for a few remote isolated possibilities, I believe this storm pretty much done with us. 

Tonight will be winter in full force aside from the missing snow, with blustery winds and single digit temps. 

 

Any further questions tonight please contact Tom Schumm at 913-238-8890 till 12:00 am and then I will be available for the remainder of the event should something occur.  Thank you for your time today and I hope you like the new information highway we are experimenting with.

 

KC Long Range Weather, www.kclongrangeweather.com

Dec. 11th

Treatable event for tonight mainly after 3 PM and more likely after 5 PM and snow lasting most of the night with very blustery conditions, reaching new Blizzard conditions near the St. Joe areas.

 

Right now, I believe tonight's accumulations will generally be nothing in Topeka do a 1/2" along State Line with higher amounts further east.

 

Within the KC Metro area, the heaviest would be in eastern Clay and Jackson Counties with up to 1"

 

I'll have more on these possible totals later this morning.

TEST Feed

This is a test feed

Up in the air

They / we are having a terrible time pin pointing the exact timing and amount of precip. in the kc area.  It is suspected to be a non-event but we will be monitoring it closely.  Please call 913-732-3368 for 24 hour monitoring access.  Thank you.

What's it gonna do??

TREATABLE EVENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON

 

The models overnight are having the storm Saturday not getting it's act together until reaching south central Missouri leaving us on the back edge with the best chances for inches of snow being in Central Missouri.
Even though most of the media this morning has backed off on this storm as far as frozen precip in our area, I believe there is still a very good chance for a treatable event mostly because this far out the models are usually never right and the fact temps on Saturday will fall from about 40 degrees to the upper teens and low 20's in a matter of minutes and there won't have to be much precip to have conditions rapidly deteriorate.

 

The timing is still uncertain, but it appears the freezing change would occur about noon Saturday lasting to about 4-5 PM before changing to just flurries.  In the KC area the heaviest amounts according to the latest GFS would be east of the state line and areas further east with Clay county getting the brunt of frozen precip in our immediate area where some areas may get up to a quick 3/4" of frozen precip.

 

Most of the automated graphic from the NWS that predict frozen precip chances that far out, won't be out until this afternoon and we'll take a closer look then.

Less than 24 hours later we have a chance...its still far away but lets watch this unfold

Possible plowing treatable event Saturday.

 

It's still early, but the models are in somewhat more agreement this morning on the timing and path of the storm due Saturday. 
Right now the storm should effect the area by morning and changing to a mix to snow by mid afternoon.  The path is looking to be centered in north central Missouri with our frozen precip being from the wrap around effect.
Forecast models this morning project the possibility of up to 1.5" of snow by late Saturday night into early hours of Sunday morning.

 

Long Range.... It appears we are headed back to a wetter pattern compared to the last month or so, at least until the end of the month.

Week of MY BIRTHDAY!

No treatable events for next 5 days expected.

 

Cold and dry conditions continue.  A possible treatable event is showing up for late next Friday night into Saturday.  This early out it looks to be a possible ice event ending with some snow.  The next best chance continues to be about the 17 TH and 18 TH. 

 

Otherwise the below average cold is expected to continue for most of the month with a few breaks.  Temps Thurs and Friday could approach the 50's before another shot of cold Arctic air blows in late Friday which may bring us the icy mix.

NO TREATABLE EVENTS FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

NO TREATABLE EVENTS FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

Models continue to have problems agreeing on the timing of precip next week.
There is chances for showers Sunday night into Monday morning.
The best chance for a treatable event is now late Tuesday and most of Wednesday where snow could be around at least part of the day Wednesday.
Thanksgiving is looking dry and cold, but I believe isolated flurries will be around in the morning hours.
Timing is everything and this storm is still 4-5 days away.

The week of the 28 TH to December 4 TH is looking drier than I first forecasted, but there is still a chance for something 29-30 and Dec. 3 RD.

Wednesday Chance of snow

If the rain changes over to snow tomorrow, it would occur between 5 PM and midnight. I expect no treatable event. Brief mix and snow may be heavy enough to temporarily cover some roads, but would rapidly melt as the ground temps will remain at or above freezing.

The next best for a treatable event is still Tuesday the 23 RD which would be similar to tomorrow except much colder air bringing in the front. The models are holding back a bit on the precip, but they did the same for tomorrow a week ago when I kept it in there.

From the 26 TH to the 1 ST looks cold with the best chance for a treatable event on the 30 TH.

Week of 15th-21

6:34 AM.

POSSIBLE TREATABLE EVENT LATE WEDNESDAY AND EARLY THURSDAY

Several short waves will cross the region through the week and most will remain dry except for rain chances on Wednesday which may briefly change to a rain/snow mix overnight and mainly north of the River- into early Thursday morning. The exact track of the storm is still uncertain but appears to stay mostly north of the river.

Another storm is expected next Saturday which should start as rain and is expected to change to a mix at times through Monday. The forecasted temps for next weekend have warmed up just bit, but are only within 2 degrees of making a big difference in the forecast. For now I'll have to put a MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN A TREATABLE EVENT most like next Sunday.

A FEW BLIPS ON THE RADAR THIS MORNING MAY BRING A FEW ISOLATED SPRINKLES INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING.

when will it be treatable?

NO TREATABLE EVENTS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS As the storm moves out tonight, I still believe isolated flurries are possible mainly along a line from Manhattan, KS to St. Joe with no impact. Still a slight chance for drizzle or freezing drizzle Wednesday and don't see this as an event at this time. The storm predicted for the night of the 19 th into Saturday the 20 th is still looking like the first potential for a treatable event of the season with Saturday looking more likely into Sunday and is looking like an all snow event at this moment.

November Madness -

No treatable events expect through the 15 th.

This week:
Above average temps will continue through the week as two fronts move in later in the week bringing a chance for shower and thundershowers between Wednesday through early hours on Saturday with the best chance for rain being thundershowers Friday afternoon.

14 th- 21 st [Long Range]
Slight chance for a treatable event on the 16 th and 19 th with temperatures hovering around the freezing mark with light rain or drizzle. Depending on the timing, some may freeze mainly on grassy areas.

Visible image this morning showing clear skies for the day.


KC Long Range Weather, www.kclongrangeweather.com , www.kclongrangeweather.blogspot.com

Exterior Decorators will keep you informed as it gets closer.

Weather Update

VERY LIKELY CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN EVENTS MAINLY THE WEEK OF THE 14 TH of November, WITH THE BEST CHANCE SO FAR ON SUNDAY THE 14TH THOUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF THE 15 TH. We will be following this closely.

Always go to extdec.com  for the latest news and weather updates.

WInter - Dot your "I's" and "DOUBLE CROSS YOUR T'S"

One of the biggest mistakes we make is selecting a company for snow removal and then forgetting all about it till we get that one call.  That one call that we all don't want to get.  At Exterior Decorators, we take advantage of time, because time is our friend and we put together a check list for all our in house employees as well as hired out "partners."

Make sure they are following the weather patterns, make sure there equipment has been fine tuned for the new season.  This is very important because equipment gets older as years go on and parts take longer to get.  Make sure all there materials are stored some where dry and that they do have them in case of that early storm.  Make sure they have property site plans as well as Snow response maps.  Ask them to mark the areas on your sites that are dangerous or costly to fix, especially take note of handicap parking areas ( hand shovel these).  Make sure they have sent in there w-9's and insurance forms.

If you have more questions please contact us at 913-788-9559 and we can provide a list of detail for you.

Thanks!

Storm on it's way

There is a strong chance of a cold front in two weeks.  Following the cold front we have the potential to see freezing rain on November 19th and our first snow accumulation on Thanksgiving Weekend.  Stay tuned as more updates come as the time line closes in on us.

Here is the extended out look - http://www.kclongrangeweather.com/