1/11/11 Noon Update

TREATABLE EVENT The late morning models have generally increased our snow depth chances for tonight. We have already reached the high for the day as the front has passed KCI and the official high for the day has been reached, however areas south of the river may make it to near 50 before the slow moving front passes those areas. Moisture won't be available until between 6 and 7 PM and will begin as light blowing snow with a heavier bands between 8 and midnight. The current ground temperature is 44 degrees and will quickly drop below freezing after sun set. Temperatures by morning will be in the mid teens with 40 MPH winds possibly making the morning driving conditions horrible. Within the KC area, the heaviest amounts with the latest models, appear to be in the southeast sections of the City Projected Snowfall potentials: I-29 and Barry road and areas north and west of that including the cities of Liberty, Gladstone, Kansas City North........1.25" Downtown KC, including NKC, KCK.......1.5" Olathe, Leawood, Raytown, Independence....1.75" Lee's Summit, Blue Springs..............2" The first biggest treatable threat will be melting snow which may rapidly freeze by 8 PM as the snow begins to fall heavier. Provider of Kansas City's Long Range weather at. www.kclongrangeweather.com

1/11/11 the Onset of Good luck...

Good Morning KC! We wanted to give you the first update, and what it may mean for us in KC. Not sure yet, more to come later. For the most part I think it is would be salt spreading event but Gary Lezak did say last night mini-blizzard. This could mean that the winds would carry snow over the lots and walks and have 2 or so inches in "areas" of lots. We will put another update out later today. LIKELY TREATABLE EVENT A strong cold front will move into Missouri today as a strong upper level storm system dives into our area. As temperatures fall this afternoon- light snow moves into NW Missouri with snow increasing in areal coverage. Snowfall accumulations are expected to be around 1/4-1/2" roughly in a line from KC to Sedailia with higher amounts north and east of that. Tonight will have strong winds, blowing snow reduced visibilities with temps into the teens. The threat is although the snow amounts are expected to be light- roads may be warm enough to initially melt the snow before temps fall enough for the roads to freeze causing icy conditions especially for untreated roadways. There are signs this morning this storm may produce more snow than currently forecasted and I'll have to update later this morning as new information comes in. Provider of Kansas City's Long Range weather at. www.kclongrangeweather.com

Good morning kc!

This mornings models have somewhat trimmed back the chances for accumulating snow tonight particularly south of the river where nothing may happen. Areas north of I-70 within the KC metro, may receive 1/2" to 3/4" of light dry snow mostly after 5 PM to about midnight. The ground temperatures are expected to be at or below freezing when the snow arrives after a high today of 38. A more significant event is setting up for next Wednesday-Friday.

December 8, will it be white again?

December 8th, could it be the first real snow? Models show little to no snow, some snow, but most are favoring the best chance of accumulation is North of I-70. It is 16 hours away but something that needs to be watched. We intend to give an update as soon as we have convincing evidence. For Now, North of I-70 has the best chance for accumulation...south of the river, wunderground.com is saying, slight chance. We will keep you updated.

Late summer is here, with scorching temps.  Make sure to watch out for out friends in a bag so they don't eat your plants.  Also a good time to start thinking about snow!

Event Report from the 20th-21st

Below is the forecast for the event and then you will see the “summary” props to Gary Brener who is our private forecaster this season and is a local guy and not very well known but pretty accurate.
Winter Storm Warning through 6 AM Thursday
Snow is expected to arrive about noon on the Kansas side spreading over the entire area by early afternoon.
noon- 6 PM 2.1"
6 PM-midnight 4.1" [heavy snow, nearly 1" per hour]
midnite-6 AM 1.0"
Widespread 5-7" totals.
Heaviest snow is now expected from downtown towards Clinton, 6-8"
The actually SUMMARY
Rates:
1-3 PM .45" [.15" per hour]
3-6 1.40" [ nearly a 1/2" per hour]
6-9 2.25 [ 3/4" per hour]---HEAVIEST SNOW
9-M 2.10 [ about 3/4" per hour]
M-3A .54 [.18 per hour]
3-6 .39 [.13 per hour]
Average snow totals: 7.13"
On some of your invoices you will see that we did a refreeze on 1/21 early am, then this band of snow was predicted to come and give us and 1” of snow. So even though we spread salt earlier and on some sites spot treated, if we spot treated we went back and did a full spread. We have discounted some invoices where applicable.
Here was the result of the 1/21 snow that really never occurred but regardless the ground and air temp validated the treatment, see below.
Most of the scattered snow showers this morning have clipped on through the area and some are expected to wrap back around later this afternoon will less than 1" on average.
10 AM....air 17', ground 25'
current....air 21', ground 27'